Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Top 10 NA CSGO Ranking October 2015

Top 10 NA CSGO Ranking October 2015


With the departure of ESEA-NEWS and their power rankings, a ranking system for NA does not appear to exist. Thoorin of course has his world top 10 which is comprehensive and accurate and if you’re looking for the 10 best teams, you should go there. HLTV also now has a top 20 best teams, where they use some statistical mumbo-jumbo formula to come up with team ranks. My rankings on the other hand are going old school where I, the ranker, attempt to take into account all the achievements each team has acquired in the past ~3 months. Flame on.

Ranking system:

Teams with offline wins will be ranked before any team with online only achievements: Offline (international) > offline (domestic).
If not all of the top 10 NA teams have offline wins, I will have to consider online achievements via the following: Online qualifier (for international offline event) > ESL/ESEA > PGL > CEVO > Face It > RGN > other online league
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#1

Cloud 9 Roster: freakazoid, n0thing, seangares, shroud, Skadoodle

Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 Finals 2nd
·         ESWC 2015 2nd
·         FACEIT 2015 Stage 2 Finals 2nd
·         Cevo S7 Professional Finals: 3-4th
            Online:
·         HTC Reborn 1st
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 19/3 1st
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 10-0-2 1st

Breakdown: While Cloud9 did not get out of groups at the last major, the other teams in this ranking have not done enough in the past three months to contest with C9’s previous achievements. I said at the time that C9 is going to kick itself later for not being able to cash in on one of the three finals appearances (as you never know if you’ll get back there), especially if they continue their on-going streak of failing to get out of groups at the next major.

Cloud9 still needs to continue to work on their T-sides of each map but I believe C9’s best maps are: cache, overpass, cbble, train. This leaves dust2, inferno and mirage. Since C9 regularly bans mirage that leaves inferno and dust2 as the weak points. Although, C9 has the potential to choke on any of their strength maps as well.

Speculation & discussion: About a month or so ago there was some chatter about C9’s time invested: it was reported that some of C9’s main accounts showed less than ~eight hours played over two weeks. Some people cited fatigue and grind of traveling to a bunch of events. I honestly hope this isn’t the case. The easiest motivation comes from not winning an event. If C9 is becoming fatigued by taking 2nd or not making it out of groups than C9 has a serious problem. They say that winning back to back championships is one of the hardest things to do: first because it is hard to maintain enthusiasm and second because you get everyone’s best. That’s why fnatic’s success is so impressive. I’m really hoping C9 was just using alt accounts in this case as C9 is currently NA’s best shot at doing something at an international event. They have the resources and a quality line up. Last week I watched an ESEA match of theirs against Luminosity where I believe I observed further progress which may lead to a C9 playoff bound at the next major. But then C9 goes off and fails to make the finals at the Crown Invitational. NA fans, hold your breath and cross your fingers. Me on the other hand, I think I've reached my breaking point... Until swag comes back this team won't reach a finals again.

2
#    #2

Counter Logic Gaming (CLG) Roster: FNS, hazed, jdm, reltuC, tarik

Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 Finals 3-4th
·         Intel Extreme Masters Season X- gamescom 6th
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 1st
·         Cevo S7 Professional Finals: 5-6th

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 6-4-2 5th
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 14/8 4th
·         RGN Pro Series NA 1st
·         CS:Go Championship Series: Season 1 3rd

Breakdown: Not really anything has changed from CLG since the last rankings: they can beat just about any other team in NA on any given night (but consistency is an issue). However, at international offline events they are middle of the pack. The next goal for this team should be making an international offline final. Ultimately they’d probably lose in the match up but gain much needed experience that every top team has to go through.

Speculation & discussion: Three words: Get a coach.
I’ll refer back to what I said in my previous ranking as I still believe it applies:
“CLG would benefit from a coach whoseexpertise revolves around strategy and execution. A trend I’ve seen watching CLG matches is jdm getting 2-3 kills in rounds that CLG loses. While this ishelpful in not letting the opposing team’s economy become a Swiss bank, at acertain point these multi-kill rounds need to occur in rounds that CLG wins(especially when playing teams ranked in Thoorin’s top 10). Until this happensCLG will stay ranked within the top 3 in NA and not ranked at all on the worldtop 10.”

3
#    #3


Luminosity Gaming Roster: boltzz, Buuyyaakkaa, coldzer44, FALLEN^Raze, fer, steelega

Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 Finals 5-6th
·         ESL One: Cologne 2015 5-8th
·         ESWC 2015 9-12th
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 2nd
            Online:
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 17/5 2nd
·         Intel Extreme Masters Season X- gamescom 6th
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 1st
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Summer 1st
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 2nd

Breakdown: Luminosity Gaming has some success at major events (aka making it out of groups at these events). However at both Katowice and Cologne they have lost in the following quarter finals match. This really isn’t all that shocking seeing as the two teams they have been matched up against were Virtus.Pro and fnatic. Per the current international scene, NA teams just cannot compete with team’s on Thooorin’s top 10 rankings.

Speculation & discussion: Overall I think this team is slowly building and has potential to make a semifinals appearance at the next major. If they do this and both C9 and CLG slip again (not make it out of groups), this will dramatically affect my rankings. They have skilled players and clearly employ strategies on each map. As long as LG makes sure they aren’t over rehearsed on a particular game plan: meaning LG doesn’t crumble when the opposing team disrupts their execution. The best teams are fluid; they have a game plan going in but can change on a moment’s notice depending on what happens in game. I have yet to fully see this from LG.



   #4

Team Liquid Roster: adreN, EliGE, FugLy, nitr0, hiko

Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESWC 2015 5-8th
·         FACEIT 2015 Stage 2 Finals 7-8th
·         PGL Season 1 Grand Final 4th
            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 3rd 8-3-1
·         HTC Reborn Invitational 2nd
·         HyperX CS:Go Clash 1st
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Summer 2nd
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 14/8 5th
·         CS:Go Championship Series: Season 1, 1st
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 1st

Breakdown: It’s quite evident that Team Liquid’s online achievements vastly out number their offline ones. However, TL is hoping this will change with the acquisition of hiko. Hiko brings top tier NA talent and veteran-offline experience to this young-offline team. Other than adren, this team has basically zero international-offline experience. And this essentially sums up where they are at. TL needs to attend every offline event they can and take the lumps (losses) that will come with it. Hopefully they will grow and get better with each loss. Essentially go the Sayian route and get stronger with every loss that doesn’t kill you. Don’t expect this team to do anything offline before the start of next year. Yes, we saw them look better that the PGL finals vs top EU teams but it still wasn’t enough. Also, remember competition level at an event like PGL is far different from major competition. Every team brings 150% effort at a major.

Speculation & discussion: If TL truly wants to become a contender offline and online, they need to consider a gaming house. TL now has a coach and being as TL has vast resources getting the team and coach together in one house where quality practices can occur would be ideal in my opinion. I feel as though Hiko might want to retain his independence (especially for his own personal stream) but TL needs to build chemistry and build it fast. The chemistry on fnatic, VP, TSM and others is definitely one reason for their success. TL has to reach those team’s chemistry levels if they truly want to compete.



   #5      

Team Conquest (Former Tempo Storm) Roster: daps, NAF-FLY, RUSH, ryx, ShahZam

Achievements:

Offline:
·         Cevo S7 Professional Finals: 5-6th
·         ESL One: Cologne 2015 NA Qualifier: 5-8th

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 4th  5-2-5
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 NA Qualifier 3-4th
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 3rd
·         FaceIt League 2015 stage 3 NA Qualifier 3-4th
·         HTC Reborn Invitational 5-8th
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 10/12 8th
·         RGN Pro Series NA 4th

Breakdown: Conquest has really surprised me. I thought they had a quality performance at Cevo finals given the last minute invite and ever since then they have just been improving. My observation is they have frequently been giving the teams ranked above them (in this ranking) trouble when playing against them.
One of their storylines is Ryx becoming a must watch player:

Speculation & discussion: When it comes to this team, I believe everyone is in a “wait and see moment”: either they will continue to improve and move up the ranks or they will stay where they’re at and be middle of the pack. My money says they will stay where they are at as it is just so hard to hit the next level. If Conquest is to have a truly breakout performance it won’t be until the middle of next year. Or maybe they will surprise again at the RGN finals.


   #6   

WinterFox (Formerly Mythic and Luminosity) Roster: LeX, pyth, Xp3, Devilwalk, anger
Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 Finals 7-8th
·         ESL One: Cologne 2015 NA Qualifier: 5-8th
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 13-16th

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 2nd 6-0-6
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 16/6 3rd
·         Games Academy Show Match 1st
·         RGN Pro Series NA 5-6th
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 NA Qualifier 1-2nd
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 5-8th

Breakdown: This team had everything going for it leading up to ESL/ESEA Pro S1 Finals… and that’s when the trouble began. The dominant performances they had online in NA matches did not transfer over to offline-international matches. That’s not surprising as NA is very behind EU and some OCE (Renegades and Immunity on occasion). The problem for this team is once the offline losses started happening, they basically snow balled into losses online too. It feels like this team is currently at rock bottom which isn’t all that bad considering they are still being ranked 6th here and if they are truly at rock bottom all the can do is go up…

Speculation & discussion: Apparently part of the team is in Europe and part of the team is in North America. This does not sound like a recipe for success as most leagues determine their offline-playoff seeds based on the online season (which WF will clearly have a ping disadvantage in). If this team can figure out its identity there may be potential for a better rank. However, I still don’t expect them to be top 3 NA or even remotely close to being ranked internationally.




   #7   
  
Complexity (Formerly Maximum Effort & Nihilum)Roster: automatic, roca, semphis, sancz, valens
Achievements:

Offline:
·         ESL One: Cologne 2015 NA Qualifier: 5-8th

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 6th  4-4-4
·         RGN Pro Series NA 5-6th
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Summer 5-8th
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 13/9 6th

Breakdown: Now that the dust has settled and this team has found a permanent home, they can finally begin to put in some hard work. Being picked up by complexity is no joke. Jason Lake (owner) expects his team to compete. While this team is still far off from competing internationally, they do have potential to compete in NA as the lineup is talented. It’s nice to see the former core of Denial E-Sports working together again. That team actually made a run back in 2014 at CEVO 5 and ESEALan 17. This is where I see the potential and part of my basis for this ranking as I know they have been able to produce offline.

Speculation & discussion: It will be interesting to see how much of a leash J.Lake is willing to give this team. coL is currently in 1st place in ESEA S20 (although they have the most games played) but they are 6th in CEVO S8. Ideally this team needs to get to as many offline events as possible. As previously mentioned in other team’s rankings, coL needs to get the much needed experience and the lumps that come with them. I think it would be unrealistic of J.Lake to expect his team to compete internationally before 2017. In my opinion it will take coL all of 2016 to just get their foot in the door. I say this because I just haven’t seen the success from this cast against any team in Thoorin’s top 10.



   #8     

 3sUP Roster: DAVEY, jasonR, arya, abE, kiko

Achievements:

Offline:
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 3rd
·         CS:GO OC 5k Open 2nd (m0E stand-in for jasonr)

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 7th 4-4-4
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 NA Qualifier 5-8th
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 5-8th
·         RGN Freedom Cup 13-16th
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 8/14 9th

Breakdown: My comments regarding 3sUP in my last ranking were they needed to continue to grind and put in hard work to generate wins and thus become eligible to attend offline events. Luckily for them, WinOut.net hosted a NA event and this team took advantage. They achieved a solid 3rd place showing at this event (behind LG and CLG). Not to mention beating method head to head 2-0 who I declare is now a rival of 3sUP.

Speculation & discussion: Unfortunately 3sUP has slipped a little after a good showing at WinOut.net. They started off S8 of CEVO losing to Coast as well as losing later on to method 2-0. However, 3sUP has been able to beat coL in both CEVO and ESEA, despite losing to coL 2-0 in the DreamHack Stockholm qualifier 2-0. It appears the team understands that this journey is going to be a rough one. I just hope they can continue to take the hits and keep improving because honestly that’s the only way they will improve. If they have indeed found their 5 players (with the addition of kiko), they need to stick with them. I recommend no more changes to the lineup for at least a season.


   #9   
   
Games Academy Roster: TACO, Hen1, Lucas1, SHOOWTiME, Fnx

Achievements:
Offline:
·         CS:GO OC 5k Open 1st
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 4th

            Online:
·         iBUYPOWER Invitational 2015- Fall 9th
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 NA Qualifier 5-8th
·         Xtreme League #1 1st
·         FACEIT League 2015 Stage 3 NA Qualifier 5-8th

Breakdown: This team is essentially LG’s farm team or another BR team that has decided to make the venture to compete in the NA division. Founded by Fallen back on 8-02-15, this team has been off to a decent start. They aren’t currently in ESEA/ESL Pro NA S2 but I expect they will be next season as they are currently 8-0 in ESEA-main. I imagine they will try to get into CEVO as well. In any case their skill range appears to be in the range of the teams ranked here 6-10 and since they have 1 more offline appearance than method, they are earn spot #9.

Speculation & discussion: I’m wondering if this is indeed LG’s farm team and if LG fails to make it out of groups at the next major would they pull the best performer from this team to try and elevate LG to an international contender.



   #10

Method Roster: toy, Eleyfs, Silent, Just9n, streboR

Achievements:

Offline:
·         WinOut.net CS:GO Championship 5-6th

            Online:
·         Cevo S7 NA Professional 11th  2-5-5
·         ESL/ESEA Pro S1 NA 6/16 10th
·         RGN Pro Series NA 13-16th
·         CS:Go Championship Series: Season 1 4th
·         DreamHack Stockholm 2015 NA Qualifier 5-8th
·         FACEIT League 2015 Stage 3 NA Qualifier 5-8th

Breakdown: Per the achievements this team is essentially an online team. There really isn’t enough data to gauge them on. They can compete online vs most of the teams not ranked 3 or higher on this ranking. However, they are ranked behind 3sUP based on losing to them 2-0 at WinOut.net offline event.

Speculation & discussion:
This team needs to basically go the same route as 3sUP: do whatever you can to get to offline events. The RGN Pro Series Lan in November will be a great opportunity for not just method but the other NA teams on this list. Just9n and SileNt3m are method’s star players. According to my research Just9n had a little drop off from his online to offline performance. He’ll be needed at RGN if this team expects to place well at the event.

Teams that just missed a ranking:

·         Ex-Elevate – no recent offline showings

·         Coast –no recent offline showings and roster instability: Stanislaw, a player I had my eyes on is currently not on Coast’s ESEA roster (as of 10/7).


Thanks for reading, will try and have my next rankings out before the end of December. Feel free to follow @McCl0udysRants on twitter as I tweet daily about gaming and e-sports.

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